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Red393
3310139.6
48105.9
648191.2
Blue425
302104.0
23698.5
5036106.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3383100100200400500600700800393425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.65.0
134.2139.3
Auto26.7
Teleop59.6
End53.3
red by 33.2
5036
#31
106.43.5
103.2106.7
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2
Second
48
#34
105.95.0
97.1102.1
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9
red by 1.9
302
#40
104.03.5
101.6105.1
Auto13.0
Teleop47.6
End43.4
Third
6481
#22
91.25.0
86.191.1
Auto9.2
Teleop47.0
End35.0
blue by 7.3
236
#59
98.53.5
93.096.5
Auto10.2
Teleop46.6
End41.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
39%Rotor oddsEarned34%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
4%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed