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Red285
631892.0
166077.6
428474.4
Blue301
1506111.5
349288.4
648191.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343220100200400500600285301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6318
#15
92.03.4
88.692.0
Auto7.5
Teleop51.2
End33.4
blue by 19.5
111.50.1
115.4115.5
Auto14.8
Teleop48.0
End48.7
Second
1660
#64
77.63.4
74.277.6
Auto9.4
Teleop35.0
End33.3
blue by 13.6
6481
#22
91.20.1
91.191.2
Auto9.2
Teleop47.0
End35.0
Third
4284
#63
74.43.4
71.074.4
Auto6.1
Teleop38.4
End29.9
blue by 14.0
3492
#33
88.40.1
88.488.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.0
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed25%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed