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Red413
548116.6
1986169.0
350494.6
Blue382
4814112.7
5413103.4
1114144.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983700200600800413382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.02.6
170.4173.0
Auto45.5
Teleop63.6
End59.9
red by 24.7
144.31.8
142.5144.3
Auto34.1
Teleop56.0
End54.2
Second
548
#8
116.62.6
112.2114.8
Auto13.4
Teleop54.9
End48.3
red by 3.9
112.71.8
111.0112.8
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
Third
3504
#28
94.62.6
92.094.6
Auto10.1
Teleop45.8
End38.7
blue by 8.8
5413
#24
103.41.8
101.6103.4
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsEarned57%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
76%Pressure oddsEarned35%Pressure oddsMissed