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Qual 472017 Darwin Division
Red289
35985.5
4028115.8
5505111.5
Blue391
1305120.5
314108.9
3928115.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331337250300350400289391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#37
115.81.8
111.2→109.4
Auto18.5
Teleop49.4
End47.9
blue by 4.7
1305
#4
120.54.7
101.9→106.7
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
Second
5505
#21
111.51.8
106.5→104.7
Auto11.6
Teleop53.4
End46.4
blue by 4.2
3928
#11
115.74.7
112.7→117.5
Auto10.4
Teleop51.1
End54.2
Third
359
#45
85.51.8
97.7→96.0
Auto12.8
Teleop50.4
End22.3
blue by 23.4
314
#39
108.94.7
105.1→109.8
Auto16.1
Teleop55.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed5%Pressure oddsEarned