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Red255
315784.5
6201108.1
432589.8
Blue370
5036106.4
1506111.5
229108.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713340100200400500600255370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#16
108.10.7
96.796.0
Auto15.6
Teleop50.9
End41.6
blue by 3.5
111.52.4
101.0103.4
Auto14.8
Teleop48.0
End48.7
Second
4325
#57
89.80.7
90.689.9
Auto7.8
Teleop45.9
End36.0
blue by 19.1
229
#12
108.92.4
106.7109.1
Auto10.6
Teleop52.9
End45.5
Third
3157
#42
84.50.7
78.477.7
Auto9.3
Teleop40.1
End35.1
blue by 21.9
5036
#31
106.42.4
101.2103.6
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed