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Red280
78107.9
5413103.4
631892.0
Blue255
302104.0
516699.2
415185.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32328902004006008001,000280255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#30
107.91.8
108.4106.6
Auto9.8
Teleop51.1
End46.9
red by 3.9
302
#40
104.01.6
102.9101.3
Auto13.0
Teleop47.6
End43.4
Second
5413
#24
103.41.8
95.894.0
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
red by 4.2
5166
#58
99.21.6
93.892.3
Auto11.9
Teleop42.9
End44.3
Third
6318
#15
92.01.8
98.096.2
Auto7.5
Teleop51.2
End33.4
red by 6.8
4151
#65
85.21.6
82.080.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.5
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed