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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Orlando Regional
Red260
10885.6
406461.9
386108.5
Blue390
365394.6
7979.3
355685.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269275200250300350260390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#16
108.50.1
109.2→109.1
Auto15.9
Teleop44.0
End48.6
red by 13.9
3653
#14
94.60.7
94.0→94.7
Auto10.6
Teleop48.5
End35.6
Second
108
#38
85.60.1
86.5→86.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.0
End35.9
blue by 0.1
3556
#54
85.71.0
84.8→85.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End33.9
Third
4064
#4
61.90.1
62.8→62.7
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End25.1
blue by 17.4
79
#5
79.30.7
78.7→79.4
Auto6.6
Teleop44.9
End27.8