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Red306
584282.0
74483.3
459293.7
Blue316
238380.8
8697.8
1065107.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265307100200400500306316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#18
93.70.5
93.293.8
Auto10.2
Teleop41.1
End42.4
blue by 13.6
1065
#15
107.31.0
107.0108.0
Auto13.5
Teleop41.1
End52.8
Second
744
#2
83.30.8
82.683.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.7
End38.8
blue by 14.5
86
#7
97.81.0
97.598.5
Auto14.4
Teleop38.6
End44.8
Third
5842
#46
82.00.8
81.282.0
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End33.2
red by 1.2
2383
#25
80.80.7
80.681.2
Auto9.8
Teleop46.2
End24.8