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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Orlando Regional
Red233
10885.6
406461.9
386108.5
Blue311
365394.6
7979.3
355685.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272275240250260280290300310233311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#16
108.50.6
109.1→108.5
Auto15.9
Teleop44.0
End48.6
red by 13.9
3653
#14
94.60.6
94.7→95.3
Auto10.6
Teleop48.5
End35.6
Second
108
#38
85.60.8
86.4→85.6
Auto10.7
Teleop39.0
End35.9
blue by 0.1
3556
#54
85.70.8
85.8→86.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End33.9
Third
4064
#4
61.90.8
62.7→61.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End25.1
blue by 17.4
79
#5
79.30.6
79.4→80.0
Auto6.6
Teleop44.9
End27.8