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Red263
584282.0
74483.3
459293.7
Blue315
238380.8
8697.8
1065107.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267309100200400500263315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#18
93.70.0
93.893.7
Auto10.2
Teleop41.1
End42.4
blue by 13.6
1065
#15
107.30.9
108.0108.9
Auto13.5
Teleop41.1
End52.8
Second
744
#2
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.7
End38.8
blue by 14.5
86
#7
97.80.9
98.599.4
Auto14.4
Teleop38.6
End44.8
Third
5842
#46
82.00.0
82.082.0
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End33.2
red by 1.2
2383
#25
80.80.6
81.281.8
Auto9.8
Teleop46.2
End24.8