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Red255
638848.8
365373.5
386107.6
Blue224
23392.3
17989.3
459259.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072730100300400255224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#6
107.61.3
98.399.7
Auto15.5
Teleop40.7
End51.4
red by 15.3
233
#7
92.30.7
95.394.6
Auto9.8
Teleop41.4
End41.1
Second
73.51.3
64.265.5
Auto8.7
Teleop43.4
End21.3
blue by 15.8
179
#5
89.30.7
92.291.5
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End31.0
Third
6388
#18
48.81.3
43.244.5
Auto5.3
Teleop22.6
End21.0
blue by 10.6
4592
#23
59.40.6
62.161.5
Auto5.1
Teleop29.1
End25.2