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Red165
448190.4
600166.2
255663.4
Blue263
386107.6
365373.5
638848.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23823150100150200300350400450165263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#12
90.41.5
91.990.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.3
End44.4
blue by 17.3
386
#6
107.61.0
103.2104.2
Auto15.5
Teleop40.7
End51.4
Second
66.21.6
67.866.2
Auto8.2
Teleop35.2
End22.8
blue by 7.3
73.51.0
69.070.0
Auto8.7
Teleop43.4
End21.3
Third
2556
#27
63.41.6
65.063.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.4
End26.4
red by 14.6
6388
#18
48.81.0
48.049.1
Auto5.3
Teleop22.6
End21.0