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Red256
638848.8
365373.5
386107.6
Blue190
23392.3
17989.3
459259.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2132690100300400256190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#6
107.61.3
99.7100.9
Auto15.5
Teleop40.7
End51.4
red by 15.3
233
#7
92.32.2
94.692.3
Auto9.8
Teleop41.4
End41.1
Second
73.51.3
65.566.8
Auto8.7
Teleop43.4
End21.3
blue by 15.8
179
#5
89.32.2
91.589.3
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End31.0
Third
6388
#18
48.81.3
44.545.8
Auto5.3
Teleop22.6
End21.0
blue by 10.6
4592
#23
59.42.0
61.559.4
Auto5.1
Teleop29.1
End25.2