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Red145
26376.8
264167.9
447168.9
Blue267
12571.7
152393.2
640476.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302450100200300400500600145267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#15
76.82.0
78.876.8
Auto8.1
Teleop40.9
End27.8
blue by 16.4
93.21.0
89.490.4
Auto10.1
Teleop40.7
End42.4
Second
4471
#13
68.92.2
71.168.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.9
End42.4
blue by 7.6
6404
#25
76.51.0
72.773.7
Auto8.0
Teleop36.8
End31.8
Third
2641
#10
67.92.2
70.167.9
Auto3.2
Teleop29.4
End35.4
blue by 3.8
125
#19
71.70.8
68.669.4
Auto7.5
Teleop35.2
End29.0