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Red255
582839.3
4188117.9
2974129.1
Blue230
4941106.3
408076.2
671442.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152320100200400255230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.10.7
129.4128.7
Auto15.4
Teleop51.8
End61.9
red by 22.9
106.30.6
108.6108.0
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
Second
117.90.7
118.1117.4
Auto9.6
Teleop53.4
End54.9
red by 41.7
76.20.6
78.577.9
Auto9.8
Teleop37.0
End29.4
Third
5828
#30
39.30.7
39.538.8
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End8.2
blue by 2.9
6714
#29
42.20.7
44.744.1
Auto7.8
Teleop30.6
End3.8