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Red311
582839.3
4188117.9
2974129.1
Blue155
4941106.3
408076.2
671442.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132310100200400311155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.10.5
128.7129.1
Auto15.4
Teleop51.8
End61.9
red by 22.9
106.31.7
108.0106.3
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
Second
117.90.5
117.4117.9
Auto9.6
Teleop53.4
End54.9
red by 41.7
76.21.7
77.976.2
Auto9.8
Teleop37.0
End29.4
Third
5828
#30
39.30.5
38.839.3
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End8.2
blue by 2.9
6714
#29
42.21.8
44.142.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.6
End3.8