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Red305
582839.3
4188117.9
2974129.1
Blue255
510971.8
521958.1
126160.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3221740100200300400305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.10.5
128.5128.9
Auto15.4
Teleop51.8
End61.9
red by 57.4
5109
#16
71.81.6
69.871.4
Auto7.2
Teleop35.9
End28.6
Second
117.90.5
117.2117.7
Auto9.6
Teleop53.4
End54.9
red by 57.3
1261
#25
60.61.6
58.660.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End14.7
Third
5828
#30
39.30.5
38.639.1
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End8.2
blue by 18.8
5219
#15
58.11.6
56.157.7
Auto7.2
Teleop36.4
End14.4