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Red305
582839.3
4188117.9
2974129.1
Blue255
445966.7
507467.1
419344.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3291500100200300400305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.10.4
129.4129.8
Auto15.4
Teleop51.8
End61.9
red by 62.0
67.12.0
63.365.3
Auto10.5
Teleop41.4
End15.2
Second
117.90.4
118.1118.5
Auto9.6
Teleop53.4
End54.9
red by 51.2
4459
#13
66.72.0
62.964.8
Auto5.1
Teleop37.8
End23.8
Third
5828
#30
39.30.4
39.539.9
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End8.2
blue by 4.9
4193
#20
44.22.0
40.442.3
Auto4.0
Teleop30.3
End9.8