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Red280
671442.2
408076.2
4941106.3
Blue208
363590.1
358181.8
647163.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229246100150200300350400280208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.30.8
104.7105.5
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
red by 16.2
3635
#12
90.10.5
88.988.3
Auto6.6
Teleop42.0
End41.4
Second
76.20.8
74.675.4
Auto9.8
Teleop37.0
End29.4
blue by 5.6
81.80.5
80.680.0
Auto12.0
Teleop38.5
End31.3
Third
6714
#29
42.20.9
40.541.3
Auto7.8
Teleop30.6
End3.8
blue by 21.0
6471
#18
63.30.5
62.061.5
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End23.5