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Red335
671442.2
408076.2
4941106.3
Blue333
363590.1
358181.8
647163.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233244100200300400500335333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.31.8
105.5107.4
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
red by 16.2
3635
#12
90.11.7
88.390.1
Auto6.6
Teleop42.0
End41.4
Second
76.21.8
75.477.3
Auto9.8
Teleop37.0
End29.4
blue by 5.6
81.81.7
80.081.8
Auto12.0
Teleop38.5
End31.3
Third
6714
#29
42.22.0
41.343.4
Auto7.8
Teleop30.6
End3.8
blue by 21.0
6471
#18
63.31.7
61.563.3
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End23.5