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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Peachtree State Championship
Red402
507483.9
4941115.1
174699.5
Blue213
4468106.9
164893.4
309166.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331277100200300400500402213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#1
115.10.0
115.6→115.6
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End49.5
red by 8.2
4468
#14
106.91.3
107.7→106.5
Auto9.9
Teleop47.7
End49.3
Second
1746
#18
99.50.0
100.0→100.0
Auto11.6
Teleop51.6
End36.3
red by 6.1
1648
#13
93.41.3
94.2→93.0
Auto10.7
Teleop43.1
End39.6
Third
5074
#17
83.90.0
84.3→84.4
Auto12.2
Teleop49.1
End22.6
red by 17.1
3091
#34
66.71.3
67.5→66.3
Auto7.2
Teleop36.5
End23.1