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Red454
507483.9
4941115.1
174699.5
Blue205
670587.6
399894.0
529397.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327303100200400500454205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.11.2
115.6116.8
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End49.5
red by 17.9
5293
#27
97.21.8
100.198.3
Auto8.6
Teleop45.1
End43.5
Second
1746
#18
99.51.2
100.1101.3
Auto11.6
Teleop51.6
End36.3
red by 5.5
94.01.8
96.995.1
Auto9.8
Teleop41.8
End42.4
Third
5074
#17
83.91.2
84.485.6
Auto12.2
Teleop49.1
End22.6
blue by 3.7
6705
#12
87.61.8
90.488.6
Auto5.7
Teleop54.8
End27.1