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Red470
357339.3
168395.2
241598.2
Blue200
381576.8
632544.0
402673.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422020100300400500600470200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.22.7
95.197.8
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 21.4
3815
#14
76.80.0
77.577.5
Auto9.1
Teleop35.6
End32.1
Second
95.22.7
92.294.9
Auto8.6
Teleop44.3
End42.3
red by 21.3
4026
#15
73.90.0
74.774.6
Auto9.1
Teleop34.6
End30.3
Third
3573
#20
39.32.7
36.238.9
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End5.9
blue by 4.8
6325
#10
44.00.0
44.844.8
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End6.2