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Red255
357339.3
168395.2
241598.2
Blue260
634096.4
491094.4
309156.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432620100200300400500600255260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.20.5
98.398.8
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 1.7
6340
#12
96.40.3
96.195.8
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
Second
95.20.5
95.495.9
Auto8.6
Teleop44.3
End42.3
red by 0.9
94.40.3
94.093.7
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
Third
3573
#20
39.30.5
39.539.9
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End5.9
blue by 17.5
3091
#23
56.70.3
56.456.1
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8