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Red280
357339.3
168395.2
241598.2
Blue215
381576.8
632544.0
402673.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522000100300400500280215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.20.5
97.898.3
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 21.4
3815
#14
76.80.7
77.576.8
Auto9.1
Teleop35.6
End32.1
Second
95.20.5
94.995.4
Auto8.6
Teleop44.3
End42.3
red by 21.3
4026
#15
73.90.7
74.673.9
Auto9.1
Teleop34.6
End30.3
Third
3573
#20
39.30.5
38.939.5
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End5.9
blue by 4.8
6325
#10
44.00.7
44.844.0
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End6.2