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Red205
357339.3
168395.2
241598.2
Blue218
634096.4
491094.4
309156.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2452610100200300400500600700205218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.20.7
98.898.2
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 1.7
6340
#12
96.41.3
95.894.5
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
Second
95.20.7
95.995.2
Auto8.6
Teleop44.3
End42.3
red by 0.9
94.41.3
93.792.4
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
Third
3573
#20
39.30.7
39.939.3
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End5.9
blue by 17.5
3091
#23
56.71.3
56.154.8
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8