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Red286
309156.7
491094.4
634096.4
Blue210
533275.8
164892.1
563250.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258219100300400500286210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#12
96.41.0
93.794.8
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
red by 4.3
92.10.2
90.490.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.8
End40.1
Second
94.41.0
91.792.7
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
red by 18.5
5332
#13
75.80.2
74.173.9
Auto6.1
Teleop32.5
End37.3
Third
3091
#23
56.71.0
54.055.1
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8
red by 6.0
5632
#28
50.80.2
49.048.8
Auto6.5
Teleop36.6
End7.7