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Red380
617762.1
1746103.4
418893.7
Blue305
411288.1
451666.8
558270.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742250100200300400500380305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.41.2
101.4102.5
Auto13.5
Teleop55.3
End34.6
red by 15.3
88.11.9
86.288.1
Auto10.0
Teleop42.0
End36.2
Second
4188
#17
93.71.2
91.792.9
Auto11.1
Teleop44.0
End38.6
red by 22.9
5582
#16
70.91.9
69.070.9
Auto7.3
Teleop29.0
End34.5
Third
6177
#24
62.11.2
60.161.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End22.6
blue by 4.7
66.81.9
64.966.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End21.6