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Red236
309156.7
491094.4
634096.4
Blue305
533275.8
164892.1
563250.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262218100300400500236305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#12
96.40.1
94.894.6
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
red by 4.3
92.12.0
90.292.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.8
End40.1
Second
94.40.1
92.792.5
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
red by 18.5
5332
#13
75.82.0
73.975.9
Auto6.1
Teleop32.5
End37.3
Third
3091
#23
56.70.1
55.154.9
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8
red by 6.0
5632
#28
50.82.0
48.850.9
Auto6.5
Teleop36.6
End7.7