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Red280
617762.1
1746103.4
418893.7
Blue255
411288.1
451666.8
558270.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742220100400500600280255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.40.0
101.3101.4
Auto13.5
Teleop55.3
End34.6
red by 15.3
88.10.8
85.486.2
Auto10.0
Teleop42.0
End36.2
Second
4188
#17
93.70.0
91.791.7
Auto11.1
Teleop44.0
End38.6
red by 22.9
5582
#16
70.90.8
68.269.0
Auto7.3
Teleop29.0
End34.5
Third
6177
#24
62.10.0
60.060.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End22.6
blue by 4.7
66.80.8
64.164.9
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End21.6