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Red420
617762.1
1746103.4
418893.7
Blue205
363569.0
100274.2
358147.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2761880100400500420205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.41.0
100.3101.3
Auto13.5
Teleop55.3
End34.6
red by 29.2
74.20.3
73.974.2
Auto7.8
Teleop42.8
End23.7
Second
4188
#17
93.71.0
90.791.7
Auto11.1
Teleop44.0
End38.6
red by 24.7
69.00.3
68.769.0
Auto3.8
Teleop36.1
End29.1
Third
6177
#24
62.11.0
59.060.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End22.6
red by 14.3
3581
#27
47.80.3
47.447.8
Auto6.4
Teleop33.5
End7.9