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Red280
179554.4
141450.4
446895.5
Blue260
411288.1
451666.8
558270.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204219100150250300350400280260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#11
95.51.3
93.895.1
Auto10.1
Teleop46.4
End38.9
red by 7.3
88.10.6
81.482.1
Auto10.0
Teleop42.0
End36.2
Second
1795
#19
54.41.3
52.854.1
Auto4.9
Teleop36.9
End12.6
blue by 16.5
5582
#16
70.90.6
64.264.8
Auto7.3
Teleop29.0
End34.5
Third
50.41.3
48.850.1
Auto10.9
Teleop25.6
End13.9
blue by 16.4
66.80.6
60.160.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End21.6