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Red121
402673.9
424034.2
548237.9
Blue275
1746103.4
451666.8
584032.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134177050100200250300350400121275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#15
73.90.8
60.659.8
Auto9.1
Teleop34.6
End30.3
blue by 29.5
103.45.8
88.494.2
Auto13.5
Teleop55.3
End34.6
Second
5482
#35
37.91.4
43.341.9
Auto5.3
Teleop22.5
End10.2
blue by 28.9
66.85.8
42.248.0
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End21.6
Third
4240
#29
34.21.4
29.728.3
Auto4.3
Teleop24.4
End5.5
red by 1.4
5840
#30
32.89.7
31.941.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed