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Red205
168395.2
634937.4
309156.7
Blue185
632544.0
634096.4
326530.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143134050100200250205185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.25.2
67.072.2
Auto8.6
Teleop44.3
End42.3
blue by 1.2
6340
#12
96.43.8
75.278.9
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
Second
3091
#23
56.75.2
33.138.4
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8
red by 12.7
6325
#10
44.03.8
21.425.2
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End6.2
Third
6349
#22
37.47.9
34.242.1
Auto7.2
Teleop22.0
End8.2
red by 7.2
3265
#21
30.23.8
31.735.5
Auto4.3
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed