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Red200
241598.2
533275.8
473021.4
Blue215
141450.4
617762.1
381576.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182148050100200250300350200215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.21.8
100.4102.2
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 21.4
3815
#14
76.84.7
69.874.5
Auto9.1
Teleop35.6
End32.1
Second
5332
#13
75.81.8
43.545.3
Auto6.1
Teleop32.5
End37.3
red by 13.7
6177
#24
62.15.7
47.553.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End22.6
Third
4730
#36
21.43.0
24.127.1
Auto2.2
Teleop13.4
End5.8
blue by 29.1
50.44.7
27.832.5
Auto10.9
Teleop25.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed