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Red160
332937.8
5293100.4
670592.8
Blue135
451645.3
647145.5
671231.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731060200300400500600160135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.41.7
102.0100.4
Auto8.6
Teleop45.7
End46.1
red by 54.9
6471
#10
45.50.3
45.946.2
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End12.8
Second
92.81.7
94.492.7
Auto10.1
Teleop53.3
End29.4
red by 47.5
4516
#12
45.30.3
45.846.1
Auto3.2
Teleop37.3
End4.7
Third
3329
#26
37.81.9
39.737.8
Auto4.3
Teleop28.9
End4.6
red by 6.4
6712
#16
31.40.3
31.832.1
Auto3.3
Teleop25.4
End2.7