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Red300
332937.8
5293100.4
670592.8
Blue280
297488.8
241599.0
177154.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246236100150200300350400300280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.41.5
100.8102.3
Auto8.6
Teleop45.7
End46.1
red by 1.3
99.00.7
93.093.8
Auto12.5
Teleop49.6
End36.9
Second
92.81.5
93.294.7
Auto10.1
Teleop53.3
End29.4
red by 4.0
2974
#17
88.80.7
82.883.5
Auto5.8
Teleop42.4
End40.6
Third
3329
#26
37.81.7
38.340.0
Auto4.3
Teleop28.9
End4.6
blue by 17.1
1771
#25
54.90.7
48.949.7
Auto6.8
Teleop36.7
End11.4