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Red145
470139.4
423540.1
408047.2
Blue260
297488.8
241599.0
177154.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102550200300400145260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4080
#15
47.20.5
46.346.8
Auto1.4
Teleop33.4
End12.4
blue by 51.8
99.00.3
91.992.2
Auto12.5
Teleop49.6
End36.9
Second
40.10.5
39.339.8
Auto3.3
Teleop27.1
End9.6
blue by 48.7
2974
#17
88.80.3
81.681.9
Auto5.8
Teleop42.4
End40.6
Third
4701
#18
39.40.5
38.539.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.5
End4.4
blue by 15.6
1771
#25
54.90.3
47.848.1
Auto6.8
Teleop36.7
End11.4