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Red285
513267.4
474955.5
602363.2
Blue256
634077.5
399863.7
590063.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195191150250300285256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#20
67.42.3
65.968.2
Auto9.5
Teleop34.7
End23.2
blue by 10.1
6340
#11
77.52.0
69.671.6
Auto9.3
Teleop34.7
End33.5
Second
6023
#14
63.22.3
61.864.1
Auto5.9
Teleop38.3
End19.0
blue by 0.5
63.71.6
57.358.9
Auto9.3
Teleop36.6
End17.8
Third
55.52.3
54.156.4
Auto5.4
Teleop36.0
End14.0
blue by 8.0
5900
#19
63.51.6
57.158.7
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End30.1