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Red140
470139.4
423540.1
408047.2
Blue280
297488.8
241599.0
177154.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1122560200300400140280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4080
#15
47.20.4
46.847.2
Auto1.4
Teleop33.4
End12.4
blue by 51.8
99.00.8
92.293.0
Auto12.5
Teleop49.6
End36.9
Second
40.10.3
39.840.1
Auto3.3
Teleop27.1
End9.6
blue by 48.7
2974
#17
88.80.8
81.982.8
Auto5.8
Teleop42.4
End40.6
Third
4701
#18
39.40.4
39.039.4
Auto7.5
Teleop27.5
End4.4
blue by 15.6
1771
#25
54.90.8
48.148.9
Auto6.8
Teleop36.7
End11.4