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Red185
513267.4
474955.5
602363.2
Blue306
634077.5
399863.7
590063.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202196150250300185306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#20
67.40.1
68.268.1
Auto9.5
Teleop34.7
End23.2
blue by 10.1
6340
#11
77.53.2
71.674.7
Auto9.3
Teleop34.7
End33.5
Second
6023
#14
63.20.1
64.164.0
Auto5.9
Teleop38.3
End19.0
blue by 0.5
63.72.6
58.961.5
Auto9.3
Teleop36.6
End17.8
Third
55.50.1
56.456.3
Auto5.4
Teleop36.0
End14.0
blue by 8.0
5900
#19
63.52.6
58.761.3
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End30.1