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Red207
131146.1
529392.7
100273.3
Blue215
491067.4
513252.7
602352.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061740100300400500207215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.70.5
85.485.9
Auto7.5
Teleop36.5
End48.7
red by 25.3
4910
#14
67.41.2
66.467.6
Auto7.4
Teleop37.8
End22.2
Second
73.30.5
66.066.5
Auto8.2
Teleop42.1
End23.0
red by 20.6
5132
#11
52.71.2
51.752.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.7
End20.0
Third
1311
#36
46.10.4
39.439.8
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End11.0
blue by 6.4
6023
#33
52.51.3
51.452.7
Auto1.3
Teleop35.4
End15.8