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Red259
131146.1
529392.7
100273.3
Blue165
491067.4
513252.7
602352.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2071790100300400500259165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.72.0
85.987.8
Auto7.5
Teleop36.5
End48.7
red by 25.3
4910
#14
67.40.2
67.667.4
Auto7.4
Teleop37.8
End22.2
Second
73.32.0
66.568.4
Auto8.2
Teleop42.1
End23.0
red by 20.6
5132
#11
52.70.2
52.952.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.7
End20.0
Third
1311
#36
46.11.8
39.841.7
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End11.0
blue by 6.4
6023
#33
52.50.2
52.752.5
Auto1.3
Teleop35.4
End15.8