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Red245
399849.8
560880.7
418978.0
Blue285
411268.2
670578.0
402659.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241660100300400500245285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.2
79.380.5
Auto4.8
Teleop41.6
End34.2
red by 2.7
78.03.5
63.967.4
Auto6.4
Teleop41.5
End30.1
Second
78.01.1
76.777.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.5
End38.4
red by 9.8
4112
#10
68.23.3
55.258.5
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End18.4
Third
3998
#22
49.81.1
48.549.6
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End16.9
blue by 9.4
4026
#17
59.23.3
46.249.5
Auto8.8
Teleop32.1
End18.3