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Red155
632523.2
494189.5
418889.0
Blue285
174687.5
164875.5
83258.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22020804006008001,000155285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.51.7
91.289.5
Auto2.3
Teleop46.6
End40.6
red by 2.0
1746
#15
87.52.3
80.282.5
Auto11.1
Teleop54.8
End21.6
Second
89.01.8
90.889.0
Auto12.1
Teleop42.7
End34.2
red by 13.5
75.52.3
68.270.5
Auto8.6
Teleop33.0
End33.8
Third
6325
#32
23.21.7
24.923.2
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End-1.3
blue by 34.9
832
#34
58.12.6
50.252.8
Auto3.2
Teleop25.9
End29.1