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Red235
83258.1
164875.5
174687.5
Blue250
168374.9
446871.2
558246.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661920100300400235250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#15
87.52.0
68.070.0
Auto11.1
Teleop54.8
End21.6
red by 12.6
1683
#19
74.92.1
70.072.1
Auto6.6
Teleop41.0
End27.3
Second
75.52.0
55.958.0
Auto8.6
Teleop33.0
End33.8
red by 4.3
71.22.1
66.368.4
Auto10.1
Teleop38.4
End22.7
Third
832
#34
58.12.2
36.839.0
Auto3.2
Teleop25.9
End29.1
red by 11.7
5582
#29
46.42.0
41.943.8
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End11.5