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Red255
131146.1
529392.7
100273.3
Blue280
411268.2
670578.0
402659.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121880100300400500255280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.71.7
87.889.5
Auto7.5
Teleop36.5
End48.7
red by 14.7
78.02.9
69.872.7
Auto6.4
Teleop41.5
End30.1
Second
73.31.7
68.470.1
Auto8.2
Teleop42.1
End23.0
red by 5.1
4112
#10
68.22.7
60.763.3
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End18.4
Third
1311
#36
46.11.6
41.743.2
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End11.0
blue by 13.1
4026
#17
59.22.7
51.654.3
Auto8.8
Teleop32.1
End18.3