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Red445
2415103.6
1002104.2
174693.8
Blue255
529384.2
399880.8
682956.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622130100300400500600700445255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.21.2
100.1101.3
Auto10.1
Teleop46.9
End47.2
red by 20.0
5293
#16
84.20.8
83.484.2
Auto5.5
Teleop39.5
End39.2
Second
2415
#11
103.61.2
100.7102.0
Auto7.3
Teleop49.3
End47.0
red by 22.8
80.80.8
80.080.8
Auto7.8
Teleop39.5
End33.5
Third
93.81.2
89.790.9
Auto18.3
Teleop48.6
End27.0
red by 37.6
6829
#12
56.21.1
55.156.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.4
End19.6