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Red233
141491.1
4189102.7
418889.1
Blue445
491098.9
533268.5
632590.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372590100200300400500600233445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.71.9
106.1104.3
Auto13.4
Teleop38.8
End50.6
red by 3.9
98.92.1
96.098.1
Auto7.7
Teleop49.5
End41.7
Second
1414
#17
91.11.9
94.592.7
Auto9.9
Teleop46.7
End34.5
red by 0.7
90.42.1
87.589.6
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End31.6
Third
89.11.9
91.089.1
Auto9.4
Teleop50.1
End29.6
red by 20.7
68.52.1
65.267.4
Auto1.4
Teleop31.0
End36.0