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Red427
983239.9
2619103.3
1684101.3
Blue235
516699.2
649364.3
523490.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28426702004006008001,000427235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.30.0
103.3103.3
Auto15.1
Teleop46.3
End42.0
red by 4.2
5166
#23
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto11.9
Teleop42.9
End44.3
Second
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
red by 10.5
5234
#17
90.90.0
90.990.9
Auto5.2
Teleop36.5
End49.2
Third
9832
#16
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 24.4
6493
#12
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto4.5
Teleop28.8
End31.0